DETROIT – This next-generation version of the Green Bay Packers scored its biggest win on Thursday, a 29-22 victory at the NFC North-leading Detroit Lions. “We said today that the turkey was going to be much better if we get a win and we got that win. We came out starting fast, scoring on the first drive,” guard Elgton Jenkins said. Here are our weekly overreactions. 1. YES, JORDAN LOVE IS FOR REAL It’s one thing to win at Chicago in his first game as the full-time starter. It’s one thing to outduel Justin Herbert and the Chargers at Lambeau Field. It’s quite another thing to go into Detroit and beat the Lions. From Game 8 through Game 11, 25 quarterbacks have thrown at least 40 passes. Jordan Love is still a bit too inaccurate, ranking 16th with a completion rate of 65.4 percent, but he’s made a lot of big plays. He’s seventh with a 103.1 passer rating and, most notably, sixth with 8.0 yards per attempt.
From Game 2 through Game 7, 27 quarterbacks threw at least 150 passes. Love was 26th with a completion rate of 57.4 percent, 27th with a 72.3 passer rating and 25th with 6.0 yards per attempt. That last number is striking – from near the bottom in yards per attempt to near the top. That’s connecting for big plays and putting his receivers in position to make something happen after the catch. The last six opponents of the season are the Chiefs, Giants, Buccaneers, Panthers, Vikings and Bears. By opponent passer rating, they rank ninth, 15th, 27th, 19th, 21st and 26th, respectively.
One more statistical note: The last four games, the Packers are No. 1 in third-down conversions. During those games, Love’s passer rating is 117.4 with four touchdowns vs. zero interceptions. The previous four games, Love’s rating was 44.1 with one touchdown vs. four interceptions. The Packers aren’t winning in spite of their quarterback. They are winning because of their quarterback. 2. THIRD-ROUND JINX IS OVER The third round has been a wasteland for the Packers. From 2011 through 2023, the Packers selected 11 players in the third round. Only one player, tight end Richard Rodgers in 2014, started more than a season’s worth of games in a Packers uniform. You’d do better picking names from a hat. Brian Gutekunst’s picks were linebacker Oren Burks in 2018, tight end Jace Sternberger in 2019, tight end Josiah Deguara in 2020 receiver Amari Rodgers in 2021, guard Sean Rhyan in 2022 and tight end Tucker Kraft in 2023. Combined, they’ve started 20 games with the Packers.
However, Rhyan and Kraft look like rising players.